Draw · 59%
Serie A
Udinese
Parma
Finished

0:1

Prediction
Udinese35%
Draw47%
Parma18%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
59
AI Analysis
This match shapes up as a likely stalemate, largely driven by Parma's tendency for draws, particularly on the road, combined with their anemic attack. While Udinese has better overall form, their home record isn't dominant enough to guarantee a win against a defensively resolute, albeit low-scoring, Parma side.
## Recent Form and Momentum
Udinese comes into this match with mixed recent form, showing WDWLD in their last five outings. This indicates a team that can secure results but is also prone to dropping points. Parma, on the other hand, is struggling significantly, with DDLLD in their last five. Crucially, Parma's overall season record features a high number of draws (12 out of 32 matches), suggesting a propensity to grind out stalemates, especially when struggling for wins.
## League Standing and Home/Away Splits
Udinese sits in 11th place with 43 points, a comfortable mid-table position. Their home record of W5 D5 L6 is far from intimidating, showing they are not a fortress at home and frequently share the points or even lose. Parma, at 14th with 36 points, is battling to stay clear of the relegation zone. Their away record is interesting: W5 D6 L5. The high number of away draws (6) further reinforces the likelihood of a draw in this fixture, as they often prove difficult to beat on their travels even if they don't secure victories.
## Attacking vs Defensive Strength
Udinese averages 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.3, indicating a balanced but not particularly dominant side in either aspect. Parma's attacking output is notably weaker, averaging just 0.7 goals per game, making them one of the league's lowest scorers. However, their defense concedes at a rate of 1.3 goals per game, which is identical to Udinese's. This defensive parity, combined with Parma's offensive struggles, points towards a low-scoring encounter where neither team might find the decisive goal.
## Key Injuries and Suspensions
Both teams appear to be dealing with multiple injuries, with an identical list of six players for each side (N. Bertola, K. Davis, A. Zanoli, J. Zemura, B. Cremaschi, M. Frigan). While the specific impact of these absences on key starting positions isn't detailed, the sheer number of injured players could affect squad depth and tactical options for both managers.
## External Signals
Several external indicators lean towards a draw or at least a non-loss for Udinese. The "Udinese or draw" advice from one provider directly supports the predicted outcome, suggesting that while Udinese has an edge, a draw is a very plausible result. The additional advice of "-3.5 goals" further indicates a tight, low-scoring affair, which often correlates with drawn matches.
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AI Market Signals
Udinese2.16
Draw3.00
Parma3.65
Match Info
Kick-offToday, 13:00
StatusFinished
LeagueSerie A
Prediction History2 versions
This match shapes up as a likely stalemate, largely driven by Parma's tendency for draws, particularly on the road, combined with their anemic attack. While Udinese has better overall form, their home record isn't dominant enough to guarantee a win against a defensively resolute, albeit low-scoring, Parma side.
12:50pre_kickoffCurrent
Udinese
35%-1pp
Draw
47%
Parma
18%+1pp
06:27Initial
Udinese
36%
Draw
47%
Parma
17%
