AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Preview

AS Roma
Moderate · 74%
Serie A
Finished
AS Roma
4:0

Prediction

AS Roma53%
Draw39%
Fiorentina8%
Pick: AS Roma
Confidence
74

AI Analysis

AS Roma is poised to secure a victory at home against Fiorentina, leveraging their superior league standing, formidable home record, and stronger overall attacking and defensive statistics. Despite missing key midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini, Roma's consistent form and Fiorentina's struggles on the road make them strong favorites. The data strongly suggests Roma will avoid defeat and are likely to claim all three points.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

AS Roma is poised to secure a victory at home against Fiorentina, leveraging their superior league standing, formidable home record, and stronger overall attacking and defensive statistics. Despite missing key midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini, Roma's consistent form and Fiorentina's struggles on the road make them strong favorites. The data strongly suggests Roma will avoid defeat and are likely to claim all three points.

4 May · 18:16pre_kickoffCurrent
AS Roma
53%+2pp
Draw
39%
Fiorentina
8%-2pp
4 May · 07:02Initial
AS Roma
51%-5pp
Draw
39%+14pp
Fiorentina
10%-9pp
30 Apr · 10:46Initial
AS Roma
56%
Draw
25%
Fiorentina
19%

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AS Roma vs Fiorentina result & stats

Final score: AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina. AS Roma sit 6th with 61 points from 34 games (19W 4D 11L) in the Serie A, while Fiorentina are 16th with 37 points from 34 games (8W 13D 13L). AS Roma have won 3 of their last 5, while Fiorentina have won 2 of their last 5. AS Roma average 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game; Fiorentina average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded. AS Roma have 5 players listed as injured or suspended, Fiorentina 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives AS Roma a 53% chance of winning, a draw 39% and Fiorentina 8%, favouring AS Roma to win with 74% confidence.

AS Roma and Fiorentina statistics before kick-off
AS RomaStatisticFiorentina
6thLeague position16th
61Points37
19 / 4 / 11Won / Drawn / Lost8 / 13 / 13
+19Goal difference-7
1.4Goals scored per game1.1
0.9Goals conceded per game1.3
5Injured / suspended5

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