AS Roma vs Lazio Prediction & Preview

AS Roma
Moderate · 70%
Serie A
Finished
AS Roma
2:0
Lazio

Prediction

AS Roma55%
Draw39%
Lazio6%
Pick: AS Roma
Confidence
70

AI Analysis

AS Roma is strongly favored to win this Derby della Capitale, primarily due to their superior recent form, excellent home record, and stronger overall league performance. Lazio, in contrast, has struggled with inconsistency and is significantly impacted by key injuries to multiple influential players across their squad.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

AS Roma is strongly favored to win this Derby della Capitale, primarily due to their superior recent form, excellent home record, and stronger overall league performance. Lazio, in contrast, has struggled with inconsistency and is significantly impacted by key injuries to multiple influential players across their squad.

17 May · 07:01Current
AS Roma
55%
Draw
39%+12pp
Lazio
6%-12pp
4 May · 07:05initial
AS Roma
55%
Draw
27%
Lazio
18%

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AS Roma vs Lazio result & stats

Final score: AS Roma 2–0 Lazio. AS Roma sit 5th with 67 points from 36 games (21W 4D 11L) in the Serie A, while Lazio are 9th with 51 points from 36 games (13W 12D 11L). AS Roma have won 4 of their last 5, while Lazio have won 2 of their last 5. AS Roma average 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game; Lazio average 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded. AS Roma have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Lazio 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives AS Roma a 55% chance of winning, a draw 39% and Lazio 6%, favouring AS Roma to win with 70% confidence.

AS Roma and Lazio statistics before kick-off
AS RomaStatisticLazio
5thLeague position9th
67Points51
21 / 4 / 11Won / Drawn / Lost13 / 12 / 11
+24Goal difference+2
1.5Goals scored per game1.1
0.9Goals conceded per game1.0
2Injured / suspended5

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