Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction & Preview

Atalanta
Cautious · 59%
Serie A
Finished
0:1
Bologna

Prediction

Atalanta47%
Draw40%
Bologna13%
Pick: Atalanta
Confidence
59

AI Analysis

Atalanta is favored to win this match primarily due to their strong home record and superior defensive solidity, despite both teams exhibiting inconsistent recent form. Their ability to concede fewer goals and maintain a positive goal difference at home gives them a crucial advantage over Bologna, who have shown vulnerability on the road.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Atalanta is favored to win this match primarily due to their strong home record and superior defensive solidity, despite both teams exhibiting inconsistent recent form. Their ability to concede fewer goals and maintain a positive goal difference at home gives them a crucial advantage over Bologna, who have shown vulnerability on the road.

17 May · 12:33pre_kickoffCurrent
Atalanta
47%
Draw
40%
Bologna
13%
17 May · 06:57Initial
Atalanta
47%-11pp
Draw
40%+17pp
Bologna
13%-6pp
4 May · 07:01initial
Atalanta
58%
Draw
23%
Bologna
19%

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Atalanta vs Bologna result & stats

Final score: Atalanta 0–1 Bologna. Atalanta sit 7th with 58 points from 36 games (15W 13D 8L) in the Serie A, while Bologna are 8th with 52 points from 36 games (15W 7D 14L). Atalanta have won 1 of their last 5, while Bologna have won 2 of their last 5. Atalanta average 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game; Bologna average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Atalanta have 4 players listed as injured or suspended, Bologna 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Atalanta a 47% chance of winning, a draw 40% and Bologna 13%, favouring Atalanta to win with 59% confidence.

Atalanta and Bologna statistics before kick-off
AtalantaStatisticBologna
7thLeague position8th
58Points52
15 / 13 / 8Won / Drawn / Lost15 / 7 / 14
+16Goal difference+2
1.4Goals scored per game1.3
0.9Goals conceded per game1.2
4Injured / suspended5

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