Auxerre vs Angers — AI Prediction
Auxerre
Cautious · 61%
Ligue 1
Auxerre
Angers
Finished

3:1

Prediction
Auxerre48%
Draw41%
Angers11%
Pick: Auxerre
Confidence
61
AI Analysis
This is a clash between two struggling sides, but Auxerre's desperation for points in their relegation battle and home advantage give them a crucial edge. Angers are in complete freefall, with abysmal away form and a toothless attack on the road, making it difficult to see them getting a result.
## League Standing & Recent Form
Auxerre sits in 16th place, making this home fixture a must-win to pull away from the relegation zone. While their overall form is poor (LDDDW), they are unbeaten in their last four matches, showing a degree of resilience. In contrast, Angers are in a worse state of form (LDLDL), winless in their last five and seemingly drifting towards the end of the season with less to play for.
## Home & Away Performance
This is where the match is likely to be decided. Auxerre has secured the majority of their points and wins at home. Angers, on the other hand, have a dreadful away record, having won only 3 of 15 matches on their travels. Their attack completely disappears on the road, scoring a meager 9 goals in 15 away fixtures.
## Attacking vs. Defensive Stats
Both teams are offensively challenged, averaging less than a goal per game. However, Angers' attack is particularly anemic away from home, scoring just 0.6 goals per game on average. Defensively, the teams are evenly matched, both conceding 1.4 goals per game. In a match likely to be low-scoring, Auxerre's slightly more functional home attack should be the difference maker against a travel-averse Angers side.
## External Signals
Both the bookmakers and external prediction models are aligned in their view. The odds heavily favor an Auxerre win, indicating a strong market consensus. Furthermore, the external provider's advice of "Double chance : Auxerre or draw" combined with a 75% advantage in the 'Form comparison' underscores the belief that an Angers victory is the least likely outcome.
Full analysis for members only
Sign in to unlock deep AI insights
AI Market Signals
Auxerre1.65
Draw3.65
Angers5.20
Match Info
Kick-off
StatusFinished
LeagueLigue 1
Prediction History3 versions
This is a clash between two struggling sides, but Auxerre's desperation for points in their relegation battle and home advantage give them a crucial edge. Angers are in complete freefall, with abysmal away form and a toothless attack on the road, making it difficult to see them getting a result.
3 May · 15:08pre_kickoffCurrent
Auxerre
48%-1pp
Draw
41%-1pp
Angers
11%+2pp
3 May · 06:52Initial
Auxerre
49%-5pp
Draw
42%+15pp
Angers
9%-10pp
30 Apr · 08:43Initial
Auxerre
54%
Draw
27%
Angers
19%
