Belarus vs Finland Prediction & Preview

Finland
Moderate · 68%
UEFA Nations League
Finished

Prediction

Belarus23%
Draw29%
Finland48%
Pick: Finland
Confidence
68

AI Analysis

Finland enters this match in excellent form, boasting a strong attacking record and a resolute defense, which makes them the clear favorites. Their superior goal-scoring ability and tighter backline contrast sharply with Belarus's more inconsistent performances.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Finland enters this match in excellent form, boasting a strong attacking record and a resolute defense, which makes them the clear favorites. Their superior goal-scoring ability and tighter backline contrast sharply with Belarus's more inconsistent performances.

6 Oct · 18:14pre_kickoffCurrent
Belarus
23%-1pp
Draw
29%
Finland
48%+1pp
6 Oct · 06:02Initial
Belarus
24%-3pp
Draw
29%+1pp
Finland
47%+2pp
5 Oct · 06:32initial
Belarus
27%
Draw
28%
Finland
45%

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Belarus vs Finland result & stats

Final score: Belarus 1–0 Finland. Belarus have won 1 of their last 3, while Finland have won 2 of their last 3. Belarus average 4.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home; Finland average 7.0 scored and 0.0 conceded away from home. The Goalytics AI model gives Belarus a 23% chance of winning, a draw 29% and Finland 48%, favouring Finland to win with 68% confidence.

Belarus and Finland statistics before kick-off
BelarusStatisticFinland
1.3Goals scored per game3.0
0.7Goals conceded per game0.3
2Clean sheets2
2Failed to score1

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