Croatia vs Spain Prediction & Preview

Spain
Moderate · 74%
UEFA Nations League
Finished
1:2

Prediction

Croatia11%
Draw16%
Spain73%
Pick: Spain
Confidence
74

AI Analysis

Spain is strongly favored to win this encounter, driven by their excellent recent form and formidable attacking power. Croatia's struggles with defensive solidity and a string of recent losses make them a significant underdog against a high-scoring Spanish side. The Goalytics AI model's analysis consistently points towards a decisive away victory.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Spain is strongly favored to win this encounter, driven by their excellent recent form and formidable attacking power. Croatia's struggles with defensive solidity and a string of recent losses make them a significant underdog against a high-scoring Spanish side. The Goalytics AI model's analysis consistently points towards a decisive away victory.

6 Oct · 18:14pre_kickoffCurrent
Croatia
11%+2pp
Draw
16%+1pp
Spain
73%-3pp
6 Oct · 06:01Initial
Croatia
9%-5pp
Draw
15%-4pp
Spain
76%+9pp
2 Oct · 06:30initial
Croatia
14%
Draw
19%
Spain
67%

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Croatia vs Spain result & stats

Final score: Croatia 1–2 Spain. Croatia have won 1 of their last 3, while Spain have won 3 of their last 3. Croatia average 0.0 goals scored and 7.0 conceded per game at home; Spain average 3.0 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. The Goalytics AI model gives Croatia a 11% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Spain 73%, favouring Spain to win with 74% confidence.

Croatia and Spain statistics before kick-off
CroatiaStatisticSpain
1.0Goals scored per game3.3
4.0Goals conceded per game1.3
0Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0

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