Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction & Preview

Luxembourg
Moderate · 67%
UEFA Nations League
Finished

Prediction

Estonia32%
Draw32%
Luxembourg36%
Pick: Luxembourg
Confidence
67

AI Analysis

Luxembourg is slightly favored to win this encounter, primarily due to their superior attacking output and stronger recent form compared to Estonia, who have struggled to find the back of the net. While Estonia boasts a solid defense, Luxembourg's ability to score is a decisive factor here.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Luxembourg is slightly favored to win this encounter, primarily due to their superior attacking output and stronger recent form compared to Estonia, who have struggled to find the back of the net. While Estonia boasts a solid defense, Luxembourg's ability to score is a decisive factor here.

3 Oct · 15:34pre_kickoffCurrent
Estonia
32%+1pp
Draw
32%+1pp
Luxembourg
36%-2pp
3 Oct · 06:01Initial
Estonia
31%-1pp
Draw
31%+1pp
Luxembourg
38%
1 Oct · 06:30initial
Estonia
32%
Draw
30%
Luxembourg
38%

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Estonia vs Luxembourg result & stats

Final score: Estonia 1–0 Luxembourg. The Goalytics AI model gives Estonia a 32% chance of winning, a draw 32% and Luxembourg 36%, favouring Luxembourg to win with 67% confidence.

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