Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction & Preview

AC Milan
Moderate · 73%
Serie A
Finished
Genoa
1:2

Prediction

Genoa11%
Draw41%
AC Milan48%
Pick: AC Milan
Confidence
73

AI Analysis

AC Milan, despite recent stumbles and key absences, holds a significant quality advantage over Genoa, demonstrated by their stronger league standing and superior season-long attacking and defensive statistics. Their impressive away record further supports the likelihood of them securing a victory against a mid-table Genoa side.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

AC Milan, despite recent stumbles and key absences, holds a significant quality advantage over Genoa, demonstrated by their stronger league standing and superior season-long attacking and defensive statistics. Their impressive away record further supports the likelihood of them securing a victory against a mid-table Genoa side.

17 May · 07:01Current
Genoa
11%-11pp
Draw
41%+15pp
AC Milan
48%-4pp
4 May · 07:04initial
Genoa
22%
Draw
26%
AC Milan
52%

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Genoa vs AC Milan result & stats

Final score: Genoa 1–2 AC Milan. Genoa sit 14th with 41 points from 36 games (10W 11D 15L) in the Serie A, while AC Milan are 4th with 67 points from 36 games (19W 10D 7L). Genoa have won 2 of their last 5, while AC Milan have won 1 of their last 5. Genoa average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; AC Milan average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded. Genoa have 5 players listed as injured or suspended, AC Milan 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Genoa a 11% chance of winning, a draw 41% and AC Milan 48%, favouring AC Milan to win with 73% confidence.

Genoa and AC Milan statistics before kick-off
GenoaStatisticAC Milan
14thLeague position4th
41Points67
10 / 11 / 15Won / Drawn / Lost19 / 10 / 7
-8Goal difference+18
1.1Goals scored per game1.4
1.3Goals conceded per game0.9
5Injured / suspended4

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