Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 58%
Serie A
Finished
Genoa
2:1

Prediction

Genoa21%
Draw46%
Fiorentina33%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
58

AI Analysis

This match between two struggling Serie A teams is poised for a draw, primarily due to both Genoa's and Fiorentina's poor defensive records and lack of consistent attacking output. Despite some signals favouring an away win, the Goalytics AI model identifies a high likelihood of a stalemate, reflecting the finely balanced nature of this encounter.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match between two struggling Serie A teams is poised for a draw, primarily due to both Genoa's and Fiorentina's poor defensive records and lack of consistent attacking output. Despite some signals favouring an away win, the Goalytics AI model identifies a high likelihood of a stalemate, reflecting the finely balanced nature of this encounter.

10 Oct · 12:33pre_kickoffCurrent
Genoa
21%-1pp
Draw
46%+1pp
Fiorentina
33%
10 Oct · 06:01Initial
Genoa
22%-9pp
Draw
45%+16pp
Fiorentina
33%-7pp
27 Sept · 06:32initial
Genoa
31%
Draw
29%
Fiorentina
40%

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Genoa vs Fiorentina result & stats

Final score: Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina. Genoa sit 19th with 1 points from 5 games (0W 1D 4L) in the Serie A, while Fiorentina are 17th with 4 points from 5 games (1W 1D 3L). Genoa are without a win in their last 5 matches, while Fiorentina have won 1 of their last 5. Genoa average 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game at home; Fiorentina average 2.0 scored and 3.0 conceded away from home. Genoa have 6 players listed as injured or suspended, Fiorentina 3 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Genoa a 21% chance of winning, a draw 46% and Fiorentina 33%, favouring a draw with 58% confidence.

Genoa and Fiorentina statistics before kick-off
GenoaStatisticFiorentina
19thLeague position17th
1Points4
0 / 1 / 4Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 1 / 3
-7Goal difference-6
0.6Goals scored per game1.2
2.0Goals conceded per game2.4
0Clean sheets0
2Failed to score2
6Injured / suspended3

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