Ilves vs Stjarnan Prediction & Preview

Ilves
Moderate · 68%
UEFA Europa Conference League
Finished
2:1

Prediction

Ilves55%
Draw24%
Stjarnan21%
Pick: Ilves
Confidence
68

AI Analysis

Ilves is predicted to secure a home win, primarily driven by the Goalytics AI model's implied odds and Poisson distribution, which favor them despite Stjarnan's superior recent attacking form. Ilves's solid defensive record, conceding less than a goal per game, is expected to be crucial against Stjarnan's higher scoring output.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

Ilves is predicted to secure a home win, primarily driven by the Goalytics AI model's implied odds and Poisson distribution, which favor them despite Stjarnan's superior recent attacking form. Ilves's solid defensive record, conceding less than a goal per game, is expected to be crucial against Stjarnan's higher scoring output.

30 Jul · 15:35pre_kickoffCurrent
Ilves
55%+2pp
Draw
24%-1pp
Stjarnan
21%-1pp
25 Jul · 06:04initial
Ilves
53%
Draw
25%
Stjarnan
22%

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Ilves vs Stjarnan result & stats

Final score: Ilves 2–1 Stjarnan. Ilves have won 1 of their last 3, while Stjarnan have won 2 of their last 3. Ilves average 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home; Stjarnan average 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. The Goalytics AI model gives Ilves a 55% chance of winning, a draw 24% and Stjarnan 21%, favouring Ilves to win with 68% confidence.

Ilves and Stjarnan statistics before kick-off
IlvesStatisticStjarnan
1.0Goals scored per game2.0
0.7Goals conceded per game1.0
1Clean sheets1
2Failed to score0

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