Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 62%
Ligue 1
Finished
0:1

Prediction

Le Havre19%
Draw42%
Marseille39%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
62

AI Analysis

Le Havre enters this match on an astonishing run of five consecutive draws, showcasing their resilience and ability to grind out results, especially at home where they've drawn half their games. Marseille, despite their higher league position, has a very poor away draw record this season and is significantly hampered by key injuries and a crucial suspension to their top scorer, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, which will undoubtedly impact their offensive threat.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Le Havre enters this match on an astonishing run of five consecutive draws, showcasing their resilience and ability to grind out results, especially at home where they've drawn half their games. Marseille, despite their higher league position, has a very poor away draw record this season and is significantly hampered by key injuries and a crucial suspension to their top scorer, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, which will undoubtedly impact their offensive threat.

10 May · 18:31pre_kickoffCurrent
Le Havre
19%-1pp
Draw
42%
Marseille
39%+1pp
10 May · 06:58Initial
Le Havre
20%-2pp
Draw
42%+18pp
Marseille
38%-16pp
1 May · 06:58initial
Le Havre
22%
Draw
24%
Marseille
54%

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Le Havre vs Marseille result & stats

Final score: Le Havre 0–1 Marseille. Le Havre sit 14th with 32 points from 32 games (6W 14D 12L) in the Ligue 1, while Marseille are 7th with 53 points from 32 games (16W 5D 11L). Le Havre are without a win in their last 5 matches, while Marseille have won 1 of their last 5. Le Havre average 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Marseille average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. Le Havre have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Marseille 8 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Le Havre a 19% chance of winning, a draw 42% and Marseille 39%, favouring a draw with 62% confidence.

Le Havre and Marseille statistics before kick-off
Le HavreStatisticMarseille
14thLeague position7th
32Points53
6 / 14 / 12Won / Drawn / Lost16 / 5 / 11
-13Goal difference+15
0.9Goals scored per game1.8
1.3Goals conceded per game1.4
2Injured / suspended8

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