Le Havre vs Metz Prediction & Preview

Le Havre
Moderate · 65%
Ligue 1
Finished
4:4
Metz

Prediction

Le Havre51%
Draw39%
Metz10%
Pick: Le Havre
Confidence
65

AI Analysis

Le Havre is strongly positioned to secure a crucial home victory against a struggling Metz side. Metz's dreadful away record and porous defense contrast sharply with Le Havre's more stable home performances, giving the hosts a significant advantage in this pivotal relegation battle.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

Le Havre is strongly positioned to secure a crucial home victory against a struggling Metz side. Metz's dreadful away record and porous defense contrast sharply with Le Havre's more stable home performances, giving the hosts a significant advantage in this pivotal relegation battle.

26 Apr · 15:03pre_kickoffCurrent
Le Havre
51%
Draw
39%-1pp
Metz
10%+1pp
26 Apr · 06:39Initial
Le Havre
51%
Draw
40%
Metz
9%

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Le Havre vs Metz result & stats

Final score: Le Havre 4–4 Metz. Le Havre sit 14th with 30 points from 30 games (6W 12D 12L) in the Ligue 1, while Metz are 18th with 15 points from 30 games (3W 6D 21L). Le Havre are without a win in their last 5 matches, while Metz are without a win in their last 5 matches. Le Havre average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Metz average 0.9 scored and 2.2 conceded. Le Havre have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Metz 8 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Le Havre a 51% chance of winning, a draw 39% and Metz 10%, favouring Le Havre to win with 65% confidence.

Le Havre and Metz statistics before kick-off
Le HavreStatisticMetz
14thLeague position18th
30Points15
6 / 12 / 12Won / Drawn / Lost3 / 6 / 21
-13Goal difference-39
0.8Goals scored per game0.9
1.3Goals conceded per game2.2
3Injured / suspended8

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