La Liga Table Prediction 2026/27
Projected final La Liga table for 2026/27, based on 10,000 simulations of the 301 remaining fixtures. Barcelona are the most likely champions with a 92.8% chance.
| # | Team | Played | Points | PtsProjected pts | Title | Top 4 | Rel.Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 24 | 99 | 92.8% | 100% | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 18 | 83 | 5.7% | 98.5% | — |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 19 | 77 | 1.4% | 92.5% | — |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 19 | 70 | 0.2% | 70.3% | — |
| 5 |  Villarreal | 8 | 8 | 60 | — | 16.8% | 0.2% |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 8 | 14 | 54 | — | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| 7 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 13 | 54 | — | 5% | 1.2% |
| 8 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 8 | 52 | — | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| 9 |  Alaves | 8 | 11 | 52 | — | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 8 | 48 | — | 1.7% | 5.2% |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 10 | 45 | — | 0.6% | 9.4% |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 8 | 45 | — | 0.7% | 9.2% |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 8 | 45 | — | 0.6% | 10.7% |
| 14 |  Levante | 7 | 6 | 42 | — | 0.3% | 18.7% |
| 15 |  Elche | 8 | 6 | 42 | — | 0.3% | 18.8% |
| 16 |  Getafe | 8 | 8 | 40 | — | 0.1% | 28.5% |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 8 | 8 | 39 | — | 0.1% | 32.5% |
| 18 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 8 | 37 | — | — | 44.3% |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 5 | 37 | — | — | 44.4% |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 4 | 31 | — | — | 72.4% |
How this projection works
We start from the current La Liga standings and play out every remaining fixture 10,000 times. For the 17 upcoming matches that already have a Goalytics AI prediction we use the model's win/draw/loss probabilities; for the rest of the season we estimate each team's attacking and defensive strength from goals scored and conceded so far, adjusted for home advantage. Projected points are the average across all simulations, and the percentages show how often each team finished as champion, in the top 4 or in the bottom 3. The projection refreshes every few hours as results and predictions update.