Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 59%
Serie A
Finished
Lecce
1:1

Prediction

Lecce19%
Draw45%
Fiorentina36%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
59

AI Analysis

This match pits Lecce's desperation against Fiorentina's recent momentum, but a draw seems likely due to conflicting factors. While Fiorentina is in much better form, their inconsistency on the road and high number of draws this season clash with a Lecce side that, despite a dreadful losing streak, will be fighting for survival at home. Expect a tense, low-scoring affair where neither side can find a decisive edge.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

This match pits Lecce's desperation against Fiorentina's recent momentum, but a draw seems likely due to conflicting factors. While Fiorentina is in much better form, their inconsistency on the road and high number of draws this season clash with a Lecce side that, despite a dreadful losing streak, will be fighting for survival at home. Expect a tense, low-scoring affair where neither side can find a decisive edge.

20 Apr · 18:11pre_kickoffCurrent
Lecce
19%-2pp
Draw
45%
Fiorentina
36%+2pp
20 Apr · 06:44Initial
Lecce
21%
Draw
45%
Fiorentina
34%

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Lecce vs Fiorentina result & stats

Final score: Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina. Lecce sit 18th with 27 points from 32 games (7W 6D 19L) in the Serie A, while Fiorentina are 15th with 35 points from 32 games (8W 11D 13L). Lecce have won 1 of their last 5, while Fiorentina have won 3 of their last 5. Lecce average 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Fiorentina average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded. Lecce have 5 players listed as injured or suspended, Fiorentina 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Lecce a 19% chance of winning, a draw 45% and Fiorentina 36%, favouring a draw with 59% confidence.

Lecce and Fiorentina statistics before kick-off
LecceStatisticFiorentina
18thLeague position15th
27Points35
7 / 6 / 19Won / Drawn / Lost8 / 11 / 13
-24Goal difference-7
0.7Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game1.4
5Injured / suspended4

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