Lecce vs Genoa Prediction & Preview

Lecce
Cautious · 59%
Serie A
Finished
Lecce
1:0
Genoa

Prediction

Lecce44%
Draw44%
Genoa12%
Pick: Lecce
Confidence
59

AI Analysis

Lecce enters this crucial home fixture with strong recent form and immense motivation to secure their Serie A survival, facing a Genoa side that appears to have little left to play for. The home team's momentum and the significance of the match in front of their fans should provide the decisive edge. Bookmakers also heavily favor a Lecce victory.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Lecce enters this crucial home fixture with strong recent form and immense motivation to secure their Serie A survival, facing a Genoa side that appears to have little left to play for. The home team's momentum and the significance of the match in front of their fans should provide the decisive edge. Bookmakers also heavily favor a Lecce victory.

24 May · 12:46pre_kickoffCurrent
Lecce
44%-2pp
Draw
44%+1pp
Genoa
12%+1pp
24 May · 07:06Initial
Lecce
46%-8pp
Draw
43%+14pp
Genoa
11%-6pp
19 May · 07:12initial
Lecce
54%
Draw
29%
Genoa
17%

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Lecce vs Genoa result & stats

Final score: Lecce 1–0 Genoa. Lecce sit 17th with 35 points from 37 games (9W 8D 20L) in the Serie A, while Genoa are 15th with 41 points from 37 games (10W 11D 16L). Lecce have won 2 of their last 5, while Genoa have won 1 of their last 5. Lecce average 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Genoa average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded. Lecce have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Genoa 9 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Lecce a 44% chance of winning, a draw 44% and Genoa 12%, favouring Lecce to win with 59% confidence.

Lecce and Genoa statistics before kick-off
LecceStatisticGenoa
17thLeague position15th
35Points41
9 / 8 / 20Won / Drawn / Lost10 / 11 / 16
-23Goal difference-9
0.7Goals scored per game1.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.4
2Injured / suspended9

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