Lyon vs Auxerre Prediction & Preview

Lyon
Moderate · 74%
Ligue 1
Finished
Lyon
3:2
Auxerre

Prediction

Lyon51%
Draw40%
Auxerre9%
Pick: Lyon
Confidence
74

AI Analysis

Lyon, positioned in the top four, holds a significant advantage over relegation-threatened Auxerre, particularly given their formidable home record and superior attacking and defensive capabilities. Auxerre's struggle to secure wins on the road, combined with their lower goal-scoring output, makes an upset against a strong Lyon side unlikely.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

Lyon, positioned in the top four, holds a significant advantage over relegation-threatened Auxerre, particularly given their formidable home record and superior attacking and defensive capabilities. Auxerre's struggle to secure wins on the road, combined with their lower goal-scoring output, makes an upset against a strong Lyon side unlikely.

25 Apr · 12:50pre_kickoffCurrent
Lyon
51%+2pp
Draw
40%
Auxerre
9%-2pp
25 Apr · 06:32Initial
Lyon
49%
Draw
40%
Auxerre
11%

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Lyon vs Auxerre result & stats

Final score: Lyon 3–2 Auxerre. Lyon sit 4th with 54 points from 30 games (16W 6D 8L) in the Ligue 1, while Auxerre are 16th with 25 points from 30 games (5W 10D 15L). Lyon have won 2 of their last 5, while Auxerre have won 1 of their last 5. Lyon average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game; Auxerre average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Lyon have 4 players listed as injured or suspended, Auxerre 3 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Lyon a 51% chance of winning, a draw 40% and Auxerre 9%, favouring Lyon to win with 74% confidence.

Lyon and Auxerre statistics before kick-off
LyonStatisticAuxerre
4thLeague position16th
54Points25
16 / 6 / 8Won / Drawn / Lost5 / 10 / 15
+15Goal difference-14
1.5Goals scored per game0.8
1.0Goals conceded per game1.3
4Injured / suspended3

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