Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 62%
Ligue 1
Sun, 19:00
Nantes
VS

Prediction

Nantes28%
Draw43%
Toulouse29%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
62

AI Analysis

This match is poised for a draw as struggling Nantes, desperate for points at home to avoid relegation, faces a mid-table Toulouse side that isn't under immense pressure. Nantes' poor home record combined with Toulouse's mixed recent form and away strength suggests a tightly contested affair where neither side may find the decisive edge.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match is poised for a draw as struggling Nantes, desperate for points at home to avoid relegation, faces a mid-table Toulouse side that isn't under immense pressure. Nantes' poor home record combined with Toulouse's mixed recent form and away strength suggests a tightly contested affair where neither side may find the decisive edge.

17 May · 18:41pre_kickoffCurrent
Nantes
28%
Draw
43%
Toulouse
29%
17 May · 07:00Initial
Nantes
28%-7pp
Draw
43%+14pp
Toulouse
29%-7pp
5 May · 06:47initial
Nantes
35%
Draw
29%
Toulouse
36%

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Nantes vs Toulouse preview & stats

Nantes sit 17th with 23 points from 33 games (5W 8D 20L) in the Ligue 1, while Toulouse are 10th with 44 points from 33 games (12W 8D 13L). Nantes have won 1 of their last 5, while Toulouse have won 2 of their last 5. Nantes average 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Toulouse average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. Nantes have 6 players listed as injured or suspended, Toulouse 3 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Nantes a 28% chance of winning, a draw 43% and Toulouse 29%, favouring a draw with 62% confidence.

Nantes and Toulouse statistics before kick-off
NantesStatisticToulouse
17thLeague position10th
23Points44
5 / 8 / 20Won / Drawn / Lost12 / 8 / 13
-23Goal difference+1
0.9Goals scored per game1.4
1.6Goals conceded per game1.4
6Injured / suspended3

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