Napoli vs Bologna Prediction & Preview

Napoli
Moderate · 73%
Serie A
Finished
Napoli
2:3
Bologna

Prediction

Napoli53%
Draw39%
Bologna8%
Pick: Napoli
Confidence
73

AI Analysis

Napoli, despite recent inconsistencies, holds a significant advantage playing at home, where they boast an impressive record. Their superior league position, stronger attacking output, and more resolute defense against a mid-table Bologna side with a poorer away record are the primary drivers for a home victory.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Napoli, despite recent inconsistencies, holds a significant advantage playing at home, where they boast an impressive record. Their superior league position, stronger attacking output, and more resolute defense against a mid-table Bologna side with a poorer away record are the primary drivers for a home victory.

11 May · 18:12pre_kickoffCurrent
Napoli
53%
Draw
39%
Bologna
8%
11 May · 07:11Initial
Napoli
53%-8pp
Draw
39%+15pp
Bologna
8%-7pp
1 May · 06:58initial
Napoli
61%
Draw
24%
Bologna
15%

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Napoli vs Bologna result & stats

Final score: Napoli 2–3 Bologna. Napoli sit 2nd with 70 points from 35 games (21W 7D 7L) in the Serie A, while Bologna are 10th with 49 points from 35 games (14W 7D 14L). Napoli have won 2 of their last 5, while Bologna have won 2 of their last 5. Napoli average 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game; Bologna average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Napoli have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Bologna 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Napoli a 53% chance of winning, a draw 39% and Bologna 8%, favouring Napoli to win with 73% confidence.

Napoli and Bologna statistics before kick-off
NapoliStatisticBologna
2ndLeague position10th
70Points49
21 / 7 / 7Won / Drawn / Lost14 / 7 / 14
+19Goal difference+1
1.5Goals scored per game1.2
0.9Goals conceded per game1.2
2Injured / suspended4

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