Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 59%
Premier League
Finished

Prediction

Newcastle38%
Draw41%
Bournemouth21%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
59

AI Analysis

This match is primed for a draw, primarily due to Bournemouth's significant recent tendency to draw matches, both overall and specifically on the road. Despite Newcastle playing at home, their recent form is inconsistent, and they are hampered by key injuries, which will likely prevent them from gaining a decisive advantage against a defensively resolute Bournemouth side.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

Full analysis for members only

Sign in to unlock deep AI insights

Sign in free
Prediction History2 versions

This match is primed for a draw, primarily due to Bournemouth's significant recent tendency to draw matches, both overall and specifically on the road. Despite Newcastle playing at home, their recent form is inconsistent, and they are hampered by key injuries, which will likely prevent them from gaining a decisive advantage against a defensively resolute Bournemouth side.

18 Apr · 13:32pre_kickoffCurrent
Newcastle
38%-1pp
Draw
41%
Bournemouth
21%+1pp
18 Apr · 06:28Initial
Newcastle
39%
Draw
41%
Bournemouth
20%

Sign in to unlock the full breakdown

Market signals, match stats and prediction timeline

Sign in free
Comments

Sign in to leave a comment.

No comments yet. Be the first!

Newcastle vs Bournemouth result & stats

Final score: Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth. Newcastle sit 14th with 42 points from 32 games (12W 6D 14L) in the Premier League, while Bournemouth are 11th with 45 points from 32 games (10W 15D 7L). Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5, while Bournemouth have won 1 of their last 5. Newcastle average 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Bournemouth average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Newcastle have 4 players listed as injured or suspended, Bournemouth 3 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Newcastle a 38% chance of winning, a draw 41% and Bournemouth 21%, favouring a draw with 59% confidence.

Newcastle and Bournemouth statistics before kick-off
NewcastleStatisticBournemouth
14thLeague position11th
42Points45
12 / 6 / 14Won / Drawn / Lost10 / 15 / 7
-2Goal difference-1
1.4Goals scored per game1.5
1.5Goals conceded per game1.5
4Injured / suspended3

Next matches

More Premier League Predictions

View all →