Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 61%
Serie A
Finished
2:3
Lecce

Prediction

Sassuolo27%
Draw46%
Lecce27%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
61

AI Analysis

This match is poised for a stalemate, primarily due to both teams' inconsistent form and Lecce's struggle for goals combined with Sassuolo's potentially reduced motivation given their secure mid-table position. While Sassuolo has a better home record, Lecce's defensive resilience when desperate for points could nullify their opponent's advantage, leading to a tightly contested, low-scoring affair.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match is poised for a stalemate, primarily due to both teams' inconsistent form and Lecce's struggle for goals combined with Sassuolo's potentially reduced motivation given their secure mid-table position. While Sassuolo has a better home record, Lecce's defensive resilience when desperate for points could nullify their opponent's advantage, leading to a tightly contested, low-scoring affair.

17 May · 12:33pre_kickoffCurrent
Sassuolo
27%
Draw
46%
Lecce
27%
17 May · 06:57Initial
Sassuolo
27%-14pp
Draw
46%+14pp
Lecce
27%
5 May · 06:45initial
Sassuolo
41%
Draw
32%
Lecce
27%

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Sassuolo vs Lecce result & stats

Final score: Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce. Sassuolo sit 11th with 49 points from 36 games (14W 7D 15L) in the Serie A, while Lecce are 17th with 32 points from 36 games (8W 8D 20L). Sassuolo have won 2 of their last 5, while Lecce have won 1 of their last 5. Sassuolo average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; Lecce average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Sassuolo have 6 players listed as injured or suspended, Lecce 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Sassuolo a 27% chance of winning, a draw 46% and Lecce 27%, favouring a draw with 61% confidence.

Sassuolo and Lecce statistics before kick-off
SassuoloStatisticLecce
11thLeague position17th
49Points32
14 / 7 / 15Won / Drawn / Lost8 / 8 / 20
-2Goal difference-24
1.2Goals scored per game0.7
1.3Goals conceded per game1.3
6Injured / suspended2

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