Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 61%
Major League Soccer
Finished

Prediction

Sporting Kansas City27%
Draw40%
Portland Timbers33%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
61

AI Analysis

This match is poised for a draw, with the Goalytics AI model identifying a finely balanced contest where neither side is expected to dominate. Despite Portland's higher league standing, their poor away form combined with Sporting Kansas City's sporadic home resilience points towards a stalemate.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History1 version

This match is poised for a draw, with the Goalytics AI model identifying a finely balanced contest where neither side is expected to dominate. Despite Portland's higher league standing, their poor away form combined with Sporting Kansas City's sporadic home resilience points towards a stalemate.

11 Oct · 00:04pre_kickoff
Sporting Kansas City
27%
Draw
40%
Portland Timbers
33%

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Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers result & stats

Final score: Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers. Sporting Kansas City sit 15th with 21 points from 27 games (6W 3D 18L) in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers are 10th with 32 points from 27 games (9W 5D 13L). Sporting Kansas City have won 2 of their last 5, while Portland Timbers have won 1 of their last 5. Sporting Kansas City average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home; Portland Timbers average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. Sporting Kansas City have 7 players listed as injured or suspended, Portland Timbers 6 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Sporting Kansas City a 27% chance of winning, a draw 40% and Portland Timbers 33%, favouring a draw with 61% confidence.

Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers statistics before kick-off
Sporting Kansas CityStatisticPortland Timbers
15thLeague position10th
21Points32
6 / 3 / 18Won / Drawn / Lost9 / 5 / 13
-33Goal difference-3
1.2Goals scored per game1.8
2.4Goals conceded per game1.9
1Clean sheets1
9Failed to score5
7Injured / suspended6

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