Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Preview

Lyon
Moderate · 70%
Ligue 1
Finished
2:1
Lyon

Prediction

Toulouse15%
Draw40%
Lyon45%
Pick: Lyon
Confidence
70

AI Analysis

Lyon is heavily favored to win this match, driven by their exceptional recent form, strong league position, and superior overall statistics compared to Toulouse. The home side's poor run of results and a concerning external prediction signal zero chance of victory for them, cementing Lyon's advantage.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Lyon is heavily favored to win this match, driven by their exceptional recent form, strong league position, and superior overall statistics compared to Toulouse. The home side's poor run of results and a concerning external prediction signal zero chance of victory for them, cementing Lyon's advantage.

10 May · 18:30pre_kickoffCurrent
Toulouse
15%
Draw
40%
Lyon
45%
10 May · 06:55Initial
Toulouse
15%-10pp
Draw
40%+14pp
Lyon
45%-4pp
30 Apr · 06:55initial
Toulouse
25%
Draw
26%
Lyon
49%

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Toulouse vs Lyon result & stats

Final score: Toulouse 2–1 Lyon. Toulouse sit 10th with 41 points from 32 games (11W 8D 13L) in the Ligue 1, while Lyon are 3rd with 60 points from 32 games (18W 6D 8L). Toulouse have won 1 of their last 5, while Lyon have won 4 of their last 5. Toulouse average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lyon average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded. Toulouse have 4 players listed as injured or suspended, Lyon 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Toulouse a 15% chance of winning, a draw 40% and Lyon 45%, favouring Lyon to win with 70% confidence.

Toulouse and Lyon statistics before kick-off
ToulouseStatisticLyon
10thLeague position3rd
41Points60
11 / 8 / 13Won / Drawn / Lost18 / 6 / 8
0Goal difference+18
1.4Goals scored per game1.6
1.4Goals conceded per game1.1
4Injured / suspended5

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