Türkiye vs Italy Prediction & Preview

Italy
Moderate · 67%
UEFA Nations League
Finished

Prediction

Türkiye36%
Draw27%
Italy37%
Pick: Italy
Confidence
67

AI Analysis

Despite both teams suffering opening losses in the tournament, Italy appears to have an edge in this fixture. The Goalytics AI model strongly favors an away win or a draw, largely driven by a significant head-to-head advantage over Türkiye.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Despite both teams suffering opening losses in the tournament, Italy appears to have an edge in this fixture. The Goalytics AI model strongly favors an away win or a draw, largely driven by a significant head-to-head advantage over Türkiye.

28 Sept · 18:13pre_kickoffCurrent
Türkiye
36%-1pp
Draw
27%
Italy
37%+1pp
28 Sept · 06:02Initial
Türkiye
37%+5pp
Draw
27%-1pp
Italy
36%-4pp
19 Sept · 06:31initial
Türkiye
32%
Draw
28%
Italy
40%

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Türkiye vs Italy result & stats

Final score: Türkiye 1–4 Italy. Türkiye sit 3rd with 0 points from 1 games (0W 0D 1L) in the UEFA Nations League, while Italy are 4th with 0 points from 1 games (0W 0D 1L). The Goalytics AI model gives Türkiye a 36% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Italy 37%, favouring Italy to win with 67% confidence.

Türkiye and Italy statistics before kick-off
TürkiyeStatisticItaly
3rdLeague position4th
0Points0
0 / 0 / 1Won / Drawn / Lost0 / 0 / 1
-1Goal difference-2

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