Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Preview

Ajax
Moderate · 67%
Eredivisie
Finished
Ajax
1:1

Prediction

Ajax62%
Draw33%
NEC Nijmegen5%
Pick: Ajax
Confidence
67

AI Analysis

Ajax enters this match as clear favorites, boasting superior form, a much stronger attacking record, and a higher league position compared to NEC Nijmegen. Despite some mixed results at home, their overall quality and goal-scoring prowess should be decisive.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

Ajax enters this match as clear favorites, boasting superior form, a much stronger attacking record, and a higher league position compared to NEC Nijmegen. Despite some mixed results at home, their overall quality and goal-scoring prowess should be decisive.

10 Oct · 18:33pre_kickoffCurrent
Ajax
62%-8pp
Draw
33%+15pp
NEC Nijmegen
5%-7pp
27 Sept · 06:31initial
Ajax
70%
Draw
18%
NEC Nijmegen
12%

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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen result & stats

Final score: Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen. Ajax sit 5th with 14 points from 7 games (4W 2D 1L) in the Eredivisie, while NEC Nijmegen are 11th with 8 points from 7 games (2W 2D 3L). Ajax have won 3 of their last 5, while NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5. Ajax average 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home; NEC Nijmegen average 2.3 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. Ajax have 5 players listed as injured or suspended, NEC Nijmegen 6 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Ajax a 62% chance of winning, a draw 33% and NEC Nijmegen 5%, favouring Ajax to win with 67% confidence.

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen statistics before kick-off
AjaxStatisticNEC Nijmegen
5thLeague position11th
14Points8
4 / 2 / 1Won / Drawn / Lost2 / 2 / 3
+12Goal difference-1
3.0Goals scored per game1.7
1.3Goals conceded per game1.9
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
5Injured / suspended6

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