Ajax vs Willem II Prediction & Preview

Ajax
Moderate · 74%
Eredivisie
Finished
Ajax
5:1

Prediction

Ajax70%
Draw25%
Willem II5%
Pick: Ajax
Confidence
74

AI Analysis

Ajax are heavily favored to win this match against a struggling Willem II side, despite a somewhat shaky home record early in the season. The immense disparity in league form, attacking prowess, and defensive solidity between the two teams points to a comfortable victory for the hosts. Goalytics AI analysis strongly supports this outcome, highlighting Ajax's dominance.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Ajax are heavily favored to win this match against a struggling Willem II side, despite a somewhat shaky home record early in the season. The immense disparity in league form, attacking prowess, and defensive solidity between the two teams points to a comfortable victory for the hosts. Goalytics AI analysis strongly supports this outcome, highlighting Ajax's dominance.

15 Sept · 17:33pre_kickoffCurrent
Ajax
70%+1pp
Draw
25%-1pp
Willem II
5%
15 Sept · 06:01Initial
Ajax
69%-12pp
Draw
26%+13pp
Willem II
5%-1pp
6 Sept · 06:02initial
Ajax
81%
Draw
13%
Willem II
6%

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Ajax vs Willem II result & stats

Final score: Ajax 5–1 Willem II. Ajax sit 5th with 10 points from 5 games (3W 1D 1L) in the Eredivisie, while Willem II are 17th with 2 points from 5 games (0W 2D 3L). Ajax have won 3 of their last 5, while Willem II are without a win in their last 5 matches. Ajax average 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game at home; Willem II average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded away from home. Ajax have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Willem II 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Ajax a 70% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Willem II 5%, favouring Ajax to win with 74% confidence.

Ajax and Willem II statistics before kick-off
AjaxStatisticWillem II
5thLeague position17th
10Points2
3 / 1 / 1Won / Drawn / Lost0 / 2 / 3
+8Goal difference-9
2.8Goals scored per game1.0
1.2Goals conceded per game2.8
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
3Injured / suspended5

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