Alaves vs Athletic Club Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 62%
La Liga
Finished
Alaves
2:4

Prediction

Alaves26%
Draw45%
Athletic Club29%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
62

AI Analysis

This match pits Alaves' solid home record against Athletic Club's dismal away form, creating a finely balanced contest where neither side is likely to dominate. Both teams exhibit similar scoring and conceding patterns, suggesting a tight affair that could easily end in a stalemate.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match pits Alaves' solid home record against Athletic Club's dismal away form, creating a finely balanced contest where neither side is likely to dominate. Both teams exhibit similar scoring and conceding patterns, suggesting a tight affair that could easily end in a stalemate.

2 May · 16:25pre_kickoffCurrent
Alaves
26%-9pp
Draw
45%+17pp
Athletic Club
29%-8pp
2 May · 06:40Initial
Alaves
35%
Draw
28%
Athletic Club
37%
30 Apr · 08:00Initial
Alaves
35%
Draw
28%
Athletic Club
37%

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Alaves vs Athletic Club result & stats

Final score: Alaves 2–4 Athletic Club. Alaves sit 17th with 36 points from 33 games (9W 9D 15L) in the La Liga, while Athletic Club are 10th with 41 points from 33 games (12W 5D 16L). Alaves have won 2 of their last 5, while Athletic Club have won 2 of their last 5. Alaves average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Athletic Club average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Alaves have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Athletic Club 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Alaves a 26% chance of winning, a draw 45% and Athletic Club 29%, favouring a draw with 62% confidence.

Alaves and Athletic Club statistics before kick-off
AlavesStatisticAthletic Club
17thLeague position10th
36Points41
9 / 9 / 15Won / Drawn / Lost12 / 5 / 16
-11Goal difference-12
1.2Goals scored per game1.1
1.5Goals conceded per game1.5
3Injured / suspended2

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