Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Preview

Atletico Madrid
Cautious · 63%
La Liga
Finished

Prediction

Alaves14%
Draw41%
Atletico45%
Pick: Atletico Madrid
Confidence
63

AI Analysis

Atletico Madrid is in strong form and boasts a superior league position, supported by a potent attack and solid defense. Despite Alaves' decent home record, Goalytics AI analysis indicates Atletico's overall strength and head-to-head advantage will likely secure them three points on the road.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Atletico Madrid is in strong form and boasts a superior league position, supported by a potent attack and solid defense. Despite Alaves' decent home record, Goalytics AI analysis indicates Atletico's overall strength and head-to-head advantage will likely secure them three points on the road.

10 Oct · 13:43pre_kickoffCurrent
Alaves
14%
Draw
41%
Atletico Madrid
45%
10 Oct · 06:03Initial
Alaves
14%-12pp
Draw
41%+14pp
Atletico Madrid
45%-2pp
27 Sept · 06:32initial
Alaves
26%
Draw
27%
Atletico Madrid
47%

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Alaves vs Atletico Madrid result & stats

Final score: Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid. Alaves sit 6th with 11 points from 7 games (3W 2D 2L) in the La Liga, while Atletico Madrid are 2nd with 16 points from 7 games (5W 1D 1L). Alaves have won 2 of their last 5, while Atletico Madrid have won 4 of their last 5. Alaves average 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home; Atletico Madrid average 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. Alaves have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Atletico Madrid 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Alaves a 14% chance of winning, a draw 41% and Atletico Madrid 45%, favouring Atletico Madrid to win with 63% confidence.

Alaves and Atletico Madrid statistics before kick-off
AlavesStatisticAtletico
6thLeague position2nd
11Points16
3 / 2 / 2Won / Drawn / Lost5 / 1 / 1
+5Goal difference+9
1.6Goals scored per game2.3
0.9Goals conceded per game1.0
3Clean sheets3
2Failed to score1
2Injured / suspended2

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