Alaves vs Barcelona Prediction & Preview

Draw
Moderate · 65%
La Liga
Finished
Alaves
1:0

Prediction

Alaves22%
Draw42%
Barcelona36%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
65

AI Analysis

Barcelona, having already secured the league title, is expected to play with reduced intensity and a rotated squad, evidenced by key players out due to coach's decision and injuries. Alaves, battling fiercely for La Liga survival, will bring immense motivation and a solid home draw record to the fixture, making them capable of holding the champions to a stalemate.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

Barcelona, having already secured the league title, is expected to play with reduced intensity and a rotated squad, evidenced by key players out due to coach's decision and injuries. Alaves, battling fiercely for La Liga survival, will bring immense motivation and a solid home draw record to the fixture, making them capable of holding the champions to a stalemate.

13 May · 19:12pre_kickoffCurrent
Alaves
22%-1pp
Draw
42%+18pp
Barcelona
36%-17pp
4 May · 07:04initial
Alaves
23%
Draw
24%
Barcelona
53%

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Alaves vs Barcelona result & stats

Final score: Alaves 1–0 Barcelona. Alaves sit 19th with 37 points from 35 games (9W 10D 16L) in the La Liga, while Barcelona are 1st with 91 points from 35 games (30W 1D 4L). Alaves have won 1 of their last 5, while Barcelona have won 5 of their last 5. Alaves average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Barcelona average 2.6 scored and 0.9 conceded. Alaves have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Barcelona 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Alaves a 22% chance of winning, a draw 42% and Barcelona 36%, favouring a draw with 65% confidence.

Alaves and Barcelona statistics before kick-off
AlavesStatisticBarcelona
19thLeague position1st
37Points91
9 / 10 / 16Won / Drawn / Lost30 / 1 / 4
-13Goal difference+60
1.2Goals scored per game2.6
1.5Goals conceded per game0.9
2Injured / suspended4

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