Alaves vs Malaga Prediction & Preview

Alaves
High · 78%
La Liga
23 Oct, 19:00
Alaves
VS
Malaga

Prediction

Alaves52%
Draw27%
Malaga21%
Pick: Alaves
Confidence
78

AI Analysis

Alaves is strongly favored in this encounter due to their superior league position, impressive home form, and significantly better attacking and defensive output. Malaga, in contrast, remains winless this season and has shown little promise, especially on the road.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History1 version

Alaves is strongly favored in this encounter due to their superior league position, impressive home form, and significantly better attacking and defensive output. Malaga, in contrast, remains winless this season and has shown little promise, especially on the road.

13 Oct · 06:32initial
Alaves
52%
Draw
27%
Malaga
21%

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Alaves vs Malaga preview & stats

Alaves sit 7th with 11 points from 8 games (3W 2D 3L) in the La Liga, while Malaga are 20th with 4 points from 8 games (0W 4D 4L). Alaves have won 1 of their last 5, while Malaga are without a win in their last 5 matches. Alaves average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home; Malaga average 0.3 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. The Goalytics AI model gives Alaves a 52% chance of winning, a draw 27% and Malaga 21%, favouring Alaves to win with 78% confidence.

Alaves and Malaga statistics before kick-off
AlavesStatisticMalaga
7thLeague position20th
11Points4
3 / 2 / 3Won / Drawn / Lost0 / 4 / 4
+4Goal difference-9
1.5Goals scored per game0.5
1.0Goals conceded per game1.6
3Clean sheets1
2Failed to score4

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