Alaves vs Mallorca Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 59%
La Liga
Finished
Alaves
2:1

Prediction

Alaves37%
Draw45%
Mallorca18%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
59

AI Analysis

This encounter between two relegation-battling sides is highly likely to end in a stalemate. Alaves has shown resilience at home with a notable number of draws, while Mallorca's significant struggles to secure away wins, despite recent good form, point towards a cautious approach, aiming for a crucial point.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

This encounter between two relegation-battling sides is highly likely to end in a stalemate. Alaves has shown resilience at home with a notable number of draws, while Mallorca's significant struggles to secure away wins, despite recent good form, point towards a cautious approach, aiming for a crucial point.

25 Apr · 11:28pre_kickoffCurrent
Alaves
37%+1pp
Draw
45%
Mallorca
18%-1pp
25 Apr · 06:32Initial
Alaves
36%
Draw
45%
Mallorca
19%

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Alaves vs Mallorca result & stats

Final score: Alaves 2–1 Mallorca. Alaves sit 18th with 33 points from 32 games (8W 9D 15L) in the La Liga, while Mallorca are 15th with 35 points from 32 games (9W 8D 15L). Alaves have won 1 of their last 5, while Mallorca have won 3 of their last 5. Alaves average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Mallorca average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Alaves have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Mallorca 6 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Alaves a 37% chance of winning, a draw 45% and Mallorca 18%, favouring a draw with 59% confidence.

Alaves and Mallorca statistics before kick-off
AlavesStatisticMallorca
18thLeague position15th
33Points35
8 / 9 / 15Won / Drawn / Lost9 / 8 / 15
-12Goal difference-9
1.1Goals scored per game1.3
1.5Goals conceded per game1.5
2Injured / suspended6

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