Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 61%
La Liga
Finished

Prediction

Alaves31%
Draw46%
Rayo23%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
61

AI Analysis

This match appears finely balanced, with Rayo Vallecano's superior league position and recent form being offset by Alaves' solid home record and defensive stability. Both teams are hampered by significant injuries and suspensions, suggesting a cautious affair where neither side may find the decisive edge.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

This match appears finely balanced, with Rayo Vallecano's superior league position and recent form being offset by Alaves' solid home record and defensive stability. Both teams are hampered by significant injuries and suspensions, suggesting a cautious affair where neither side may find the decisive edge.

24 May · 07:09Current
Alaves
31%-12pp
Draw
46%+19pp
Rayo Vallecano
23%-7pp
19 May · 07:13initial
Alaves
43%
Draw
27%
Rayo Vallecano
30%

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Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano result & stats

Final score: Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano. Alaves sit 14th with 43 points from 38 games (11W 10D 17L) in the La Liga, while Rayo Vallecano are 8th with 50 points from 38 games (12W 14D 12L). Alaves have won 2 of their last 5, while Rayo Vallecano have won 3 of their last 5. Alaves average 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Rayo Vallecano average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded. Alaves have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Rayo Vallecano 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Alaves a 31% chance of winning, a draw 46% and Rayo Vallecano 23%, favouring a draw with 61% confidence.

Alaves and Rayo Vallecano statistics before kick-off
AlavesStatisticRayo
14thLeague position8th
43Points50
11 / 10 / 17Won / Drawn / Lost12 / 14 / 12
-12Goal difference-3
1.2Goals scored per game1.1
1.5Goals conceded per game1.2
2Injured / suspended5

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