Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Preview

Alaves
Moderate · 70%
La Liga
Finished
Alaves
0:1

Prediction

Alaves48%
Draw43%
Valencia9%
Pick: Alaves
Confidence
70

AI Analysis

Alaves is strongly positioned for a victory against Valencia, driven by their impressive home form and superior attacking and defensive records. Valencia's abysmal start to the season, marked by a struggling offense and leaky defense, further solidifies Alaves as the favored side.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Alaves is strongly positioned for a victory against Valencia, driven by their impressive home form and superior attacking and defensive records. Valencia's abysmal start to the season, marked by a struggling offense and leaky defense, further solidifies Alaves as the favored side.

15 Sept · 17:34pre_kickoffCurrent
Alaves
48%+5pp
Draw
43%-2pp
Valencia
9%-3pp
15 Sept · 06:01Initial
Alaves
43%+1pp
Draw
45%+14pp
Valencia
12%-15pp
9 Sept · 06:31initial
Alaves
42%
Draw
31%
Valencia
27%

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Alaves vs Valencia result & stats

Final score: Alaves 0–1 Valencia. Alaves sit 4th with 10 points from 5 games (3W 1D 1L) in the La Liga, while Valencia are 20th with 1 points from 5 games (0W 1D 4L). Alaves have won 3 of their last 5, while Valencia are without a win in their last 5 matches. Alaves average 3.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game at home; Valencia average 0.5 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. Alaves have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Valencia 7 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Alaves a 48% chance of winning, a draw 43% and Valencia 9%, favouring Alaves to win with 70% confidence.

Alaves and Valencia statistics before kick-off
AlavesStatisticValencia
4thLeague position20th
10Points1
3 / 1 / 1Won / Drawn / Lost0 / 1 / 4
+6Goal difference-9
2.2Goals scored per game0.2
1.0Goals conceded per game2.0
2Clean sheets1
0Failed to score4
3Injured / suspended7

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