Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction & Preview

Villarreal
Moderate · 70%
La Liga
Finished

Prediction

Alaves27%
Draw31%
Villarreal42%
Pick: Villarreal
Confidence
70

AI Analysis

Despite Alaves' strong start and home form, Villarreal's quality and historical head-to-head dominance are expected to shine through. The Goalytics AI model's implied odds lean towards Villarreal securing their first win of the season.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Despite Alaves' strong start and home form, Villarreal's quality and historical head-to-head dominance are expected to shine through. The Goalytics AI model's implied odds lean towards Villarreal securing their first win of the season.

28 Aug · 19:03pre_kickoffCurrent
Alaves
27%
Draw
31%
Villarreal
42%
28 Aug · 06:02Initial
Alaves
27%-7pp
Draw
31%+4pp
Villarreal
42%+3pp
24 Aug · 06:02initial
Alaves
34%
Draw
27%
Villarreal
39%

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Alaves vs Villarreal result & stats

Final score: Alaves 1–0 Villarreal. Alaves sit 5th with 4 points from 2 games (1W 1D 0L) in the La Liga, while Villarreal are 10th with 2 points from 2 games (0W 2D 0L). Alaves have 1 player listed as injured or suspended, Villarreal none. The Goalytics AI model gives Alaves a 27% chance of winning, a draw 31% and Villarreal 42%, favouring Villarreal to win with 70% confidence.

Alaves and Villarreal statistics before kick-off
AlavesStatisticVillarreal
5thLeague position10th
4Points2
1 / 1 / 0Won / Drawn / Lost0 / 2 / 0
+3Goal difference0
1Injured / suspended0

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