Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction & Preview

Arsenal
High · 80%
Premier League
Finished
Arsenal
1:0
Burnley

Prediction

Arsenal79%
Draw16%
Burnley5%
Pick: Arsenal
Confidence
80

AI Analysis

Arsenal, currently leading the league, are in a significantly stronger position both in terms of form and overall quality compared to a struggling Burnley side. Their formidable home record and superior attacking and defensive statistics make them clear favorites against a team battling relegation and consistently losing points.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Arsenal, currently leading the league, are in a significantly stronger position both in terms of form and overall quality compared to a struggling Burnley side. Their formidable home record and superior attacking and defensive statistics make them clear favorites against a team battling relegation and consistently losing points.

18 May · 18:49pre_kickoffCurrent
Arsenal
79%
Draw
16%
Burnley
5%
18 May · 07:22Initial
Arsenal
79%-7pp
Draw
16%+7pp
Burnley
5%
5 May · 06:47initial
Arsenal
86%
Draw
9%
Burnley
5%

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Arsenal vs Burnley result & stats

Final score: Arsenal 1–0 Burnley. Arsenal sit 1st with 79 points from 36 games (24W 7D 5L) in the Premier League, while Burnley are 19th with 21 points from 36 games (4W 9D 23L). Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5, while Burnley are without a win in their last 5 matches. Arsenal average 1.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Burnley average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Arsenal have 4 players listed as injured or suspended, Burnley 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Arsenal a 79% chance of winning, a draw 16% and Burnley 5%, favouring Arsenal to win with 80% confidence.

Arsenal and Burnley statistics before kick-off
ArsenalStatisticBurnley
1stLeague position19th
79Points21
24 / 7 / 5Won / Drawn / Lost4 / 9 / 23
+42Goal difference-36
1.9Goals scored per game1.0
0.7Goals conceded per game2.0
4Injured / suspended2

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