Aston Villa vs Sunderland Prediction & Preview

Aston Villa
Moderate · 67%
Premier League
Finished

Prediction

Aston Villa47%
Draw42%
Sunderland11%
Pick: Aston Villa
Confidence
67

AI Analysis

Aston Villa is strongly favored to win this match, primarily due to their superior league position and formidable home record, despite a recent dip in form. Their attacking strength at Villa Park, coupled with Sunderland's generally weaker away performances and goal-scoring struggles on the road, creates a clear advantage for the hosts.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

Aston Villa is strongly favored to win this match, primarily due to their superior league position and formidable home record, despite a recent dip in form. Their attacking strength at Villa Park, coupled with Sunderland's generally weaker away performances and goal-scoring struggles on the road, creates a clear advantage for the hosts.

19 Apr · 12:50pre_kickoffCurrent
Aston Villa
47%
Draw
42%+1pp
Sunderland
11%-1pp
19 Apr · 06:35Initial
Aston Villa
47%
Draw
41%
Sunderland
12%

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Aston Villa vs Sunderland result & stats

Final score: Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland. Aston Villa sit 4th with 55 points from 32 games (16W 7D 9L) in the Premier League, while Sunderland are 11th with 46 points from 32 games (12W 10D 10L). Aston Villa have won 1 of their last 5, while Sunderland have won 3 of their last 5. Aston Villa average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sunderland average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded. Aston Villa have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Sunderland 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Aston Villa a 47% chance of winning, a draw 42% and Sunderland 11%, favouring Aston Villa to win with 67% confidence.

Aston Villa and Sunderland statistics before kick-off
Aston VillaStatisticSunderland
4thLeague position11th
55Points46
16 / 7 / 9Won / Drawn / Lost12 / 10 / 10
+5Goal difference-3
1.3Goals scored per game1.0
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1
2Injured / suspended5

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