Atletico Madrid vs Girona Prediction & Preview

Atletico Madrid
Moderate · 73%
La Liga
Finished

Prediction

Atletico46%
Draw41%
Girona13%
Pick: Atletico Madrid
Confidence
73

AI Analysis

Atletico Madrid holds a significant advantage playing at home, where they boast an excellent record, contrasted sharply with Girona's struggling away form and a string of recent poor results. Their superior attacking and defensive statistics, combined with a strong historical performance against Girona, underscore why Atletico is well-positioned to secure a victory in this fixture.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Atletico Madrid holds a significant advantage playing at home, where they boast an excellent record, contrasted sharply with Girona's struggling away form and a string of recent poor results. Their superior attacking and defensive statistics, combined with a strong historical performance against Girona, underscore why Atletico is well-positioned to secure a victory in this fixture.

17 May · 15:42pre_kickoffCurrent
Atletico Madrid
46%+1pp
Draw
41%
Girona
13%-1pp
17 May · 06:59Initial
Atletico Madrid
45%-17pp
Draw
41%+20pp
Girona
14%-3pp
10 May · 06:54initial
Atletico Madrid
62%
Draw
21%
Girona
17%

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Atletico Madrid vs Girona result & stats

Final score: Atletico Madrid 1–0 Girona. Atletico Madrid sit 4th with 66 points from 36 games (20W 6D 10L) in the La Liga, while Girona are 15th with 40 points from 36 games (9W 13D 14L). Atletico Madrid have won 3 of their last 5, while Girona are without a win in their last 5 matches. Atletico Madrid average 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; Girona average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Atletico Madrid have 8 players listed as injured or suspended, Girona 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Atletico Madrid a 46% chance of winning, a draw 41% and Girona 13%, favouring Atletico Madrid to win with 73% confidence.

Atletico Madrid and Girona statistics before kick-off
AtleticoStatisticGirona
4thLeague position15th
66Points40
20 / 6 / 10Won / Drawn / Lost9 / 13 / 14
+21Goal difference-15
1.7Goals scored per game1.1
1.1Goals conceded per game1.5
8Injured / suspended5

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