Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Preview

Borussia Dortmund
Moderate · 73%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

Borussia M.18%
Draw41%
Borussia D.41%
Pick: Borussia Dortmund
Confidence
73

AI Analysis

Borussia Dortmund's superior league standing, formidable attacking record, and strong away form position them as clear favorites against a struggling Borussia Mönchengladbach side. Gladbach's poor recent form, coupled with a vulnerable home defense, creates a challenging environment for them to secure a positive result against a top-tier opponent.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Borussia Dortmund's superior league standing, formidable attacking record, and strong away form position them as clear favorites against a struggling Borussia Mönchengladbach side. Gladbach's poor recent form, coupled with a vulnerable home defense, creates a challenging environment for them to secure a positive result against a top-tier opponent.

3 May · 15:07pre_kickoffCurrent
Borussia Mönchengladbach
18%
Draw
41%
Borussia Dortmund
41%
3 May · 06:52Initial
Borussia Mönchengladbach
18%-8pp
Draw
41%+16pp
Borussia Dortmund
41%-8pp
30 Apr · 08:43Initial
Borussia Mönchengladbach
26%
Draw
25%
Borussia Dortmund
49%

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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund result & stats

Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 14th with 32 points from 31 games (7W 11D 13L) in the Bundesliga, while Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 67 points from 31 games (20W 7D 4L). Borussia Mönchengladbach are without a win in their last 5 matches, while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5. Borussia Mönchengladbach average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Borussia Dortmund average 2.1 scored and 1.0 conceded. Borussia Mönchengladbach have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Borussia Dortmund 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach a 18% chance of winning, a draw 41% and Borussia Dortmund 41%, favouring Borussia Dortmund to win with 73% confidence.

Borussia Mönchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund statistics before kick-off
Borussia M.StatisticBorussia D.
14thLeague position2nd
32Points67
7 / 11 / 13Won / Drawn / Lost20 / 7 / 4
-14Goal difference+34
1.2Goals scored per game2.1
1.6Goals conceded per game1.0
2Injured / suspended5

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