Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 61%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

Borussia M.38%
Draw39%
FSV Mainz 0523%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
61

AI Analysis

This match is poised for a draw as FSV Mainz 05's superior recent form and league position are likely to be tempered by Borussia Mönchengladbach's home advantage and both teams' historical tendency to draw matches. With similar attacking outputs and defensive vulnerabilities, neither side appears strong enough to secure a decisive win, making a shared outcome highly probable.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

This match is poised for a draw as FSV Mainz 05's superior recent form and league position are likely to be tempered by Borussia Mönchengladbach's home advantage and both teams' historical tendency to draw matches. With similar attacking outputs and defensive vulnerabilities, neither side appears strong enough to secure a decisive win, making a shared outcome highly probable.

19 Apr · 17:17pre_kickoffCurrent
Borussia Mönchengladbach
38%+2pp
Draw
39%
FSV Mainz 05
23%-2pp
19 Apr · 06:37Initial
Borussia Mönchengladbach
36%
Draw
39%
FSV Mainz 05
25%

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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 result & stats

Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 15th with 30 points from 29 games (7W 9D 13L) in the Bundesliga, while FSV Mainz 05 are 10th with 33 points from 29 games (8W 9D 12L). Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 of their last 5, while FSV Mainz 05 have won 3 of their last 5. Borussia Mönchengladbach average 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; FSV Mainz 05 average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Borussia Mönchengladbach have 1 player listed as injured or suspended, FSV Mainz 05 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach a 38% chance of winning, a draw 39% and FSV Mainz 05 23%, favouring a draw with 61% confidence.

Borussia Mönchengladbach and FSV Mainz 05 statistics before kick-off
Borussia M.StatisticFSV Mainz 05
15thLeague position10th
30Points33
7 / 9 / 13Won / Drawn / Lost8 / 9 / 12
-14Goal difference-9
1.2Goals scored per game1.2
1.7Goals conceded per game1.5
1Injured / suspended5

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