Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 63%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

Borussia M.24%
Draw41%
FSV Mainz 0535%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
63

AI Analysis

Despite Borussia Mönchengladbach's poor start, their home advantage coupled with FSV Mainz 05's significant injury list creates a finely balanced scenario. Mainz's attacking threat and defensive solidity are likely to be compromised, paving the way for a hard-fought draw as Gladbach desperately seeks to break their losing streak.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Despite Borussia Mönchengladbach's poor start, their home advantage coupled with FSV Mainz 05's significant injury list creates a finely balanced scenario. Mainz's attacking threat and defensive solidity are likely to be compromised, paving the way for a hard-fought draw as Gladbach desperately seeks to break their losing streak.

19 Sept · 13:04pre_kickoffCurrent
Borussia Mönchengladbach
24%
Draw
41%-1pp
FSV Mainz 05
35%+1pp
19 Sept · 06:03Initial
Borussia Mönchengladbach
24%-10pp
Draw
42%+16pp
FSV Mainz 05
34%-6pp
11 Sept · 06:34initial
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34%
Draw
26%
FSV Mainz 05
40%

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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 result & stats

Final score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17th with 0 points from 3 games (0W 0D 3L) in the Bundesliga, while FSV Mainz 05 are 8th with 4 points from 3 games (1W 1D 1L). Borussia Mönchengladbach are without a win in their last 3 matches, while FSV Mainz 05 have won 1 of their last 3. Borussia Mönchengladbach average 3.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per game at home; FSV Mainz 05 average 5.0 scored and 0.0 conceded away from home. Borussia Mönchengladbach have 6 players listed as injured or suspended, FSV Mainz 05 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach a 24% chance of winning, a draw 41% and FSV Mainz 05 35%, favouring a draw with 63% confidence.

Borussia Mönchengladbach and FSV Mainz 05 statistics before kick-off
Borussia M.StatisticFSV Mainz 05
17thLeague position8th
0Points4
0 / 0 / 3Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 1 / 1
-9Goal difference+3
1.0Goals scored per game2.0
4.0Goals conceded per game1.0
0Clean sheets2
2Failed to score1
6Injured / suspended5

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