Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction & Preview

Aston Villa
Moderate · 74%
Premier League
Finished
Burnley
2:2

Prediction

Burnley10%
Draw39%
Aston Villa51%
Pick: Aston Villa
Confidence
74

AI Analysis

Aston Villa enters this match in significantly superior form and league position compared to a struggling Burnley side. With Burnley seemingly in freefall and facing relegation, Aston Villa's attacking prowess and better overall balance should secure them a crucial away victory.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

Full analysis for members only

Sign in to unlock deep AI insights

Sign in free
Prediction History3 versions

Aston Villa enters this match in significantly superior form and league position compared to a struggling Burnley side. With Burnley seemingly in freefall and facing relegation, Aston Villa's attacking prowess and better overall balance should secure them a crucial away victory.

10 May · 12:41pre_kickoffCurrent
Burnley
10%-1pp
Draw
39%
Aston Villa
51%+1pp
10 May · 06:56Initial
Burnley
11%-7pp
Draw
39%+15pp
Aston Villa
50%-8pp
1 May · 06:56initial
Burnley
18%
Draw
24%
Aston Villa
58%

Sign in to unlock the full breakdown

Market signals, match stats and prediction timeline

Sign in free
Comments

Sign in to leave a comment.

No comments yet. Be the first!

Burnley vs Aston Villa result & stats

Final score: Burnley 2–2 Aston Villa. Burnley sit 19th with 20 points from 35 games (4W 8D 23L) in the Premier League, while Aston Villa are 5th with 58 points from 35 games (17W 7D 11L). Burnley are without a win in their last 5 matches, while Aston Villa have won 2 of their last 5. Burnley average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game; Aston Villa average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded. Burnley have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Aston Villa 3 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Burnley a 10% chance of winning, a draw 39% and Aston Villa 51%, favouring Aston Villa to win with 74% confidence.

Burnley and Aston Villa statistics before kick-off
BurnleyStatisticAston Villa
19thLeague position5th
20Points58
4 / 8 / 23Won / Drawn / Lost17 / 7 / 11
-36Goal difference+4
1.0Goals scored per game1.4
2.0Goals conceded per game1.3
3Injured / suspended3

Next matches

More Premier League Predictions

View all →