Elche vs Alaves Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 61%
La Liga
Finished
Elche
1:1
Alaves

Prediction

Elche33%
Draw46%
Alaves21%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
61

AI Analysis

This relegation six-pointer is set to be a tightly contested affair where neither side will want to give an inch. Despite Elche's strong home record, Alaves' desperation for points and the similar overall attacking and defensive capabilities of both teams suggest a cagey encounter that is likely to end in a stalemate.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This relegation six-pointer is set to be a tightly contested affair where neither side will want to give an inch. Despite Elche's strong home record, Alaves' desperation for points and the similar overall attacking and defensive capabilities of both teams suggest a cagey encounter that is likely to end in a stalemate.

9 May · 11:37pre_kickoffCurrent
Elche
33%-1pp
Draw
46%
Alaves
21%+1pp
9 May · 06:43Initial
Elche
34%-8pp
Draw
46%+18pp
Alaves
20%-10pp
30 Apr · 10:53initial
Elche
42%
Draw
28%
Alaves
30%

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Elche vs Alaves result & stats

Final score: Elche 1–1 Alaves. Elche sit 14th with 38 points from 34 games (9W 11D 14L) in the La Liga, while Alaves are 19th with 36 points from 34 games (9W 9D 16L). Elche have won 3 of their last 5, while Alaves have won 1 of their last 5. Elche average 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Alaves average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. Elche have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, Alaves 3 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Elche a 33% chance of winning, a draw 46% and Alaves 21%, favouring a draw with 61% confidence.

Elche and Alaves statistics before kick-off
ElcheStatisticAlaves
14thLeague position19th
38Points36
9 / 11 / 14Won / Drawn / Lost9 / 9 / 16
-8Goal difference-13
1.3Goals scored per game1.2
1.6Goals conceded per game1.6
3Injured / suspended3

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