Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 58%
Eredivisie
Finished
1:5

Prediction

Excelsior33%
Draw38%
Groningen29%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
58

AI Analysis

This Eredivisie clash between Excelsior and Groningen appears incredibly balanced, with both teams sharing identical league records and showing similar attacking capabilities. Given their mirrored form, league positions, and the Goalytics AI model's assessment of near-equal chances for all outcomes, a hard-fought draw seems the most probable result.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This Eredivisie clash between Excelsior and Groningen appears incredibly balanced, with both teams sharing identical league records and showing similar attacking capabilities. Given their mirrored form, league positions, and the Goalytics AI model's assessment of near-equal chances for all outcomes, a hard-fought draw seems the most probable result.

11 Oct · 14:13pre_kickoffCurrent
Excelsior
33%
Draw
38%
Groningen
29%
11 Oct · 06:03Initial
Excelsior
33%-8pp
Draw
38%+12pp
Groningen
29%-4pp
28 Sept · 06:33initial
Excelsior
41%
Draw
26%
Groningen
33%

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Excelsior vs Groningen result & stats

Final score: Excelsior 1–5 Groningen. Excelsior sit 7th with 11 points from 7 games (3W 2D 2L) in the Eredivisie, while Groningen are 8th with 11 points from 7 games (3W 2D 2L). Excelsior have won 2 of their last 5, while Groningen have won 1 of their last 5. Excelsior average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home; Groningen average 2.0 scored and 2.3 conceded away from home. Excelsior have 1 player listed as injured or suspended, Groningen 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Excelsior a 33% chance of winning, a draw 38% and Groningen 29%, favouring a draw with 58% confidence.

Excelsior and Groningen statistics before kick-off
ExcelsiorStatisticGroningen
7thLeague position8th
11Points11
3 / 2 / 2Won / Drawn / Lost3 / 2 / 2
+6Goal difference+2
2.1Goals scored per game2.1
1.3Goals conceded per game1.9
2Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
1Injured / suspended5

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