Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 64%
Eredivisie
Finished
1:2
Utrecht

Prediction

Excelsior35%
Draw42%
Utrecht23%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
64

AI Analysis

Goalytics AI analysis indicates a draw is the most probable outcome for this match, suggesting a tightly contested affair despite Excelsior's strong start to the season. While Excelsior possesses a potent attack, Utrecht's ability to score goals, even with their defensive vulnerabilities, points towards a hard-fought contest where points could be shared.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Goalytics AI analysis indicates a draw is the most probable outcome for this match, suggesting a tightly contested affair despite Excelsior's strong start to the season. While Excelsior possesses a potent attack, Utrecht's ability to score goals, even with their defensive vulnerabilities, points towards a hard-fought contest where points could be shared.

13 Sept · 09:43pre_kickoffCurrent
Excelsior
35%-3pp
Draw
42%+4pp
Utrecht
23%-1pp
13 Sept · 06:02Initial
Excelsior
38%+2pp
Draw
38%+12pp
Utrecht
24%-14pp
8 Sept · 06:33initial
Excelsior
36%
Draw
26%
Utrecht
38%

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Excelsior vs Utrecht result & stats

Final score: Excelsior 1–2 Utrecht. Excelsior sit 6th with 10 points from 5 games (3W 1D 1L) in the Eredivisie, while Utrecht are 16th with 2 points from 5 games (0W 2D 3L). Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5, while Utrecht are without a win in their last 5 matches. Excelsior average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home; Utrecht average 2.0 scored and 2.5 conceded away from home. Excelsior have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Utrecht 8 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Excelsior a 35% chance of winning, a draw 42% and Utrecht 23%, favouring a draw with 64% confidence.

Excelsior and Utrecht statistics before kick-off
ExcelsiorStatisticUtrecht
6thLeague position16th
10Points2
3 / 1 / 1Won / Drawn / Lost0 / 2 / 3
+7Goal difference-9
2.4Goals scored per game1.8
1.0Goals conceded per game3.6
2Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
2Injured / suspended8

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