FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 61%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

FC St. Pauli27%
Draw45%
FSV Mainz 0528%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
61

AI Analysis

This encounter is poised for a stalemate, as FC St. Pauli, battling for survival on home turf, faces a FSV Mainz 05 side known for their inconsistency away from home. Both teams have a notable tendency to draw matches, particularly in their respective home and away fixtures, suggesting a closely contested affair that could end level.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This encounter is poised for a stalemate, as FC St. Pauli, battling for survival on home turf, faces a FSV Mainz 05 side known for their inconsistency away from home. Both teams have a notable tendency to draw matches, particularly in their respective home and away fixtures, suggesting a closely contested affair that could end level.

3 May · 12:57pre_kickoffCurrent
FC St. Pauli
27%+1pp
Draw
45%+1pp
FSV Mainz 05
28%-2pp
3 May · 06:51Initial
FC St. Pauli
26%-8pp
Draw
44%+15pp
FSV Mainz 05
30%-7pp
30 Apr · 08:42Initial
FC St. Pauli
34%
Draw
29%
FSV Mainz 05
37%

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FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 result & stats

Final score: FC St. Pauli 1–2 FSV Mainz 05. FC St. Pauli sit 16th with 26 points from 31 games (6W 8D 17L) in the Bundesliga, while FSV Mainz 05 are 10th with 34 points from 31 games (8W 10D 13L). FC St. Pauli are without a win in their last 5 matches, while FSV Mainz 05 have won 2 of their last 5. FC St. Pauli average 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; FSV Mainz 05 average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded. FC St. Pauli have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, FSV Mainz 05 5 players. The Goalytics AI model gives FC St. Pauli a 27% chance of winning, a draw 45% and FSV Mainz 05 28%, favouring a draw with 61% confidence.

FC St. Pauli and FSV Mainz 05 statistics before kick-off
FC St. PauliStatisticFSV Mainz 05
16thLeague position10th
26Points34
6 / 8 / 17Won / Drawn / Lost8 / 10 / 13
-27Goal difference-10
0.8Goals scored per game1.3
1.7Goals conceded per game1.6
3Injured / suspended5

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