FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 58%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

FC St. Pauli28%
Draw43%
VfL Wolfsburg29%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
58

AI Analysis

This relegation six-pointer pits two struggling teams, FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg, who are deadlocked on points at the bottom of the league, against each other. Their poor recent form, similar home/away records, and the high stakes of avoiding defeat suggest a cautious approach that is likely to culminate in a hard-fought draw.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This relegation six-pointer pits two struggling teams, FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg, who are deadlocked on points at the bottom of the league, against each other. Their poor recent form, similar home/away records, and the high stakes of avoiding defeat suggest a cautious approach that is likely to culminate in a hard-fought draw.

16 May · 13:17pre_kickoffCurrent
FC St. Pauli
28%+3pp
Draw
43%+1pp
VfL Wolfsburg
29%-4pp
16 May · 06:47Initial
FC St. Pauli
25%-11pp
Draw
42%+14pp
VfL Wolfsburg
33%-3pp
5 May · 06:48initial
FC St. Pauli
36%
Draw
28%
VfL Wolfsburg
36%

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FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg result & stats

Final score: FC St. Pauli 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg. FC St. Pauli sit 18th with 26 points from 33 games (6W 8D 19L) in the Bundesliga, while VfL Wolfsburg are 16th with 26 points from 33 games (6W 8D 19L). FC St. Pauli are without a win in their last 5 matches, while VfL Wolfsburg have won 1 of their last 5. FC St. Pauli average 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; VfL Wolfsburg average 1.3 scored and 2.1 conceded. FC St. Pauli have 5 players listed as injured or suspended, VfL Wolfsburg 9 players. The Goalytics AI model gives FC St. Pauli a 28% chance of winning, a draw 43% and VfL Wolfsburg 29%, favouring a draw with 58% confidence.

FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg statistics before kick-off
FC St. PauliStatisticVfL Wolfsburg
18thLeague position16th
26Points26
6 / 8 / 19Won / Drawn / Lost6 / 8 / 19
-29Goal difference-26
0.8Goals scored per game1.3
1.7Goals conceded per game2.1
5Injured / suspended9

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