Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 61%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

Hamburger SV27%
Draw39%
1. FC Köln34%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
61

AI Analysis

Hamburger SV, despite their abysmal start to the season, will be highly motivated to prevent a fourth consecutive loss at home. While 1. FC Köln shows better attacking prowess, key defensive injuries and a mixed away record suggest they may struggle to fully capitalize, leading Goalytics AI analysis to predict a hard-fought draw.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

Hamburger SV, despite their abysmal start to the season, will be highly motivated to prevent a fourth consecutive loss at home. While 1. FC Köln shows better attacking prowess, key defensive injuries and a mixed away record suggest they may struggle to fully capitalize, leading Goalytics AI analysis to predict a hard-fought draw.

19 Sept · 13:04pre_kickoffCurrent
Hamburger SV
27%
Draw
39%+1pp
1. FC Köln
34%-1pp
19 Sept · 06:02Initial
Hamburger SV
27%-10pp
Draw
38%+12pp
1. FC Köln
35%-2pp
11 Sept · 06:33initial
Hamburger SV
37%
Draw
26%
1. FC Köln
37%

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Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln result & stats

Final score: Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Köln. Hamburger SV sit 18th with 0 points from 3 games (0W 0D 3L) in the Bundesliga, while 1. FC Köln are 12th with 4 points from 3 games (1W 1D 1L). Hamburger SV are without a win in their last 3 matches, while 1. FC Köln have won 1 of their last 3. Hamburger SV average 0.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded per game at home; 1. FC Köln average 1.0 scored and 4.0 conceded away from home. Hamburger SV have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, 1. FC Köln 1 player. The Goalytics AI model gives Hamburger SV a 27% chance of winning, a draw 39% and 1. FC Köln 34%, favouring a draw with 61% confidence.

Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln statistics before kick-off
Hamburger SVStatistic1. FC Köln
18thLeague position12th
0Points4
0 / 0 / 3Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 1 / 1
-12Goal difference-2
0.0Goals scored per game1.7
4.0Goals conceded per game2.3
0Clean sheets0
3Failed to score0
3Injured / suspended1

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