Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 61%
Bundesliga
Finished

Prediction

Hamburger SV27%
Draw42%
SC Freiburg31%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
61

AI Analysis

This match is poised for a draw as Hamburger SV, despite their struggles, tend to be more resilient at home, while SC Freiburg consistently underperform on the road. Both teams also exhibit significant defensive vulnerabilities and have mixed recent form, suggesting a tight, unpredictable encounter where neither side can establish clear dominance.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match is poised for a draw as Hamburger SV, despite their struggles, tend to be more resilient at home, while SC Freiburg consistently underperform on the road. Both teams also exhibit significant defensive vulnerabilities and have mixed recent form, suggesting a tight, unpredictable encounter where neither side can establish clear dominance.

10 May · 13:16pre_kickoffCurrent
Hamburger SV
27%
Draw
42%
SC Freiburg
31%
10 May · 06:56Initial
Hamburger SV
27%-8pp
Draw
42%+15pp
SC Freiburg
31%-7pp
1 May · 06:56initial
Hamburger SV
35%
Draw
27%
SC Freiburg
38%

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Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg result & stats

Final score: Hamburger SV 3–2 SC Freiburg. Hamburger SV sit 12th with 34 points from 32 games (8W 10D 14L) in the Bundesliga, while SC Freiburg are 7th with 44 points from 32 games (12W 8D 12L). Hamburger SV have won 1 of their last 5, while SC Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5. Hamburger SV average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; SC Freiburg average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded. Hamburger SV have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, SC Freiburg 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Hamburger SV a 27% chance of winning, a draw 42% and SC Freiburg 31%, favouring a draw with 61% confidence.

Hamburger SV and SC Freiburg statistics before kick-off
Hamburger SVStatisticSC Freiburg
12thLeague position7th
34Points44
8 / 10 / 14Won / Drawn / Lost12 / 8 / 12
-15Goal difference-8
1.1Goals scored per game1.4
1.6Goals conceded per game1.7
3Injured / suspended4

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