Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Preview

AZ Alkmaar
Moderate · 67%
Eredivisie
Finished

Prediction

Heerenveen18%
Draw40%
AZ Alkmaar42%
Pick: AZ Alkmaar
Confidence
67

AI Analysis

AZ Alkmaar enters this match in stellar form, boasting a perfect league record and a formidable goal difference, making them strong favorites. Their attacking prowess and defensive solidity stand in stark contrast to Heerenveen's inconsistent start to the season.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History2 versions

AZ Alkmaar enters this match in stellar form, boasting a perfect league record and a formidable goal difference, making them strong favorites. Their attacking prowess and defensive solidity stand in stark contrast to Heerenveen's inconsistent start to the season.

6 Sept · 12:03pre_kickoffCurrent
Heerenveen
18%-13pp
Draw
40%+15pp
AZ Alkmaar
42%-2pp
30 Aug · 06:03initial
Heerenveen
31%
Draw
25%
AZ Alkmaar
44%

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Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar result & stats

Final score: Heerenveen 2–3 AZ Alkmaar. Heerenveen sit 11th with 5 points from 4 games (1W 2D 1L) in the Eredivisie, while AZ Alkmaar are 2nd with 12 points from 4 games (4W 0D 0L). Heerenveen have won 1 of their last 4, while AZ Alkmaar have won 4 of their last 4. Heerenveen average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home; AZ Alkmaar average 3.0 scored and 0.5 conceded away from home. Heerenveen have 3 players listed as injured or suspended, AZ Alkmaar 2 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Heerenveen a 18% chance of winning, a draw 40% and AZ Alkmaar 42%, favouring AZ Alkmaar to win with 67% confidence.

Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar statistics before kick-off
HeerenveenStatisticAZ Alkmaar
11thLeague position2nd
5Points12
1 / 2 / 1Won / Drawn / Lost4 / 0 / 0
-1Goal difference+10
1.3Goals scored per game3.3
1.5Goals conceded per game0.8
1Clean sheets2
1Failed to score0
3Injured / suspended2

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