Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Preview

Draw
Cautious · 58%
Premier League
Finished

Prediction

Leeds34%
Draw43%
Newcastle23%
Pick: Draw
Confidence
58

AI Analysis

This match pits two identically performing teams against each other early in the season, suggesting a highly competitive and finely balanced affair. Despite Newcastle's more potent attack, Leeds' defensive resilience and home advantage, coupled with Goalytics AI analysis highlighting an evenly matched contest, make a draw the most probable outcome.

Our AI breaks down recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and team news to explain the pick. It weighs home advantage, injury impact and market movement to surface where the value sits — and where the risk hides.

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Prediction History3 versions

This match pits two identically performing teams against each other early in the season, suggesting a highly competitive and finely balanced affair. Despite Newcastle's more potent attack, Leeds' defensive resilience and home advantage, coupled with Goalytics AI analysis highlighting an evenly matched contest, make a draw the most probable outcome.

14 Sept · 18:33pre_kickoffCurrent
Leeds
34%+1pp
Draw
43%
Newcastle
23%-1pp
14 Sept · 06:01Initial
Leeds
33%-5pp
Draw
43%+16pp
Newcastle
24%-11pp
5 Sept · 06:01initial
Leeds
38%
Draw
27%
Newcastle
35%

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Leeds vs Newcastle result & stats

Final score: Leeds 4–1 Newcastle. Leeds sit 11th with 5 points from 3 games (1W 2D 0L) in the Premier League, while Newcastle are 10th with 5 points from 3 games (1W 2D 0L). Leeds have won 1 of their last 3, while Newcastle have won 1 of their last 3. Leeds average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home; Newcastle average 2.0 scored and 0.0 conceded away from home. Leeds have 2 players listed as injured or suspended, Newcastle 4 players. The Goalytics AI model gives Leeds a 34% chance of winning, a draw 43% and Newcastle 23%, favouring a draw with 58% confidence.

Leeds and Newcastle statistics before kick-off
LeedsStatisticNewcastle
11thLeague position10th
5Points5
1 / 2 / 0Won / Drawn / Lost1 / 2 / 0
+1Goal difference+2
1.0Goals scored per game2.0
0.7Goals conceded per game1.3
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
2Injured / suspended4

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